Market Outlook and Everything You Need To Know About Black Friday
Welcome to this week’s market outlook preparing you for what is likely to come over the next few days and next weekend with the Black Friday event on the horizon
This weekend
Still up in the air in terms of content we’re getting. No new promo has been teased nor does it look very likely that there will be a Team 2 of the NumbersUp promo, although we can’t be for sure. However, to me it looks like an empty week with no promo and it isn’t necessarily a bad thing if that does happen. The market should be a lot more stable today and tomorrow and might get a bit of a breather before what is about to happen next Friday.
Maybe we’re in for a surprise, let’s wait and see. Regardless, I still want to cover both scenarios for you!
If there is no content
No promo team released, no major pack supply in the store (except the usual preview pack that everyone gets)
Icon Fluctuation Trading should be fairly low-risk
Some useful links:
- Overall Market PlayStation | Xbox
- Base Icons PlayStation | Xbox
- Mid Icons PlayStation | Xbox
Use the index graph to help you understand if the market is dropping, flattening out or starting a rise.
On the same page by scrolling down you can monitor what cards are down in value indicating some potential flips.
*Reminder to never buy blindly, make sure to check all available resources like the Sold Prices page and individual player graphs!
If there is content
A promo team released, promo pack supply in the store
Fodder cards is the move, especially if there are no major SBCs released
Some buy price targets that I like:
84s <2.200c (have shown a peak of ~3.000 before)
87s <17.000c (have shown a peak of ~21.000 before)
88s <23.000c(have shown a peak of ~28.000 before)
Make sure to check out the Lowest Prices page here
Next weekend
As you might already know, the Black Friday promo starts next Friday and with it, comes a few important things that you should be aware off.
Summary:
First Lightning Rounds of the year
For numerous years Black Friday means the start of pack Lightning Rounds in the store which means major supply for cards that are in packs.
Hourly Flash SBCs
Last few years we’ve seen the addition of hourly SBC challenges for pack rewards. They varied from tradable to untradable and also attributed a lot of supply of cards/consumables on the market. This also means that this weeks Clubstock on Sunday is of high importance with so many SBCs released meaning select bronze, silver and gold cards even with all the supply will be heavily demanded to complete these Flash SBCs and spike in value at certain times during the weekend as the player base looks to complete them.
Other SBCs
Many Player SBCs should be released frequently and last year a Base Icon Upgrade came out as well to soak up the supply coming from the enormous amounts of packs. I’d expect something similar to happen again. Fodder should be maintaining solid value throughout and a rise isn’t unlikely.
Best Of TOTW
It is very likely we see the release of the best TOTW cards up to this point and could include the likes of Neymar, Vinícius Jr, Kimmich, Salah, Son and even this weeks Mbappé among many others. They might drop in value leading up to Friday but the trend after seems to be that regardless of the supply, after spending opening packs/FIFA Points people now have a lot more coins to spend on their teams and the most desirable cards will rebound and should even increase in value. Last year in addition to the Best Of team being released, we saw 2 sets of Record Breaker cards released into packs throughout the weekend.
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Until next time, happy trading!
